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SVCO

Silvaco GroupC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 provides concrete evidence of improving operating leverage and product momentum: strong growth, renewed non-GAAP operating profitability, record IP activity, strategic partnerships, and a large pipeline. Successful FTCO, AI, and SIP conversion could support substantial upside.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.5.
What can break
Convertible financing may create dilution or require stockholder approval under Nasdaq-cap rules.
Momentum
24
Value
35
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.50 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $4.50Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $15.17
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d -42.4
Value35 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment82 · Δ7d +5.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Convertible financing may create dilution or require stockholder approval under Nasdaq-cap rules.
  • • Director/10% owner open-market sale indicates an additional sentiment overhang but is not evidence of operating performance [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-11].
  • • The strongest forward claims remain management expectations rather than demonstrated recurring cash-flow performance.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 profitability and IP acceleration strengthen the turnaround case

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-42.4
Δ21d
-64.8
Value
35
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
82
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.5
Δ21d
+39.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 24.0 / Value 35.0 / Sentiment 82.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$203.31M
Beta
-
Shares Out
33.89M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.3
P/S (TTM)
2.14
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-5.46
Rev YoY
+47.8%
EPS YoY
-65.3%
Gross Margin
+80.5%
Op Margin
-28.4%
Net Debt
-$11.99M
Current Ratio
1.69
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data