B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SUPV
Grupo SupervielleCNYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$10.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-05
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.7
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.7
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+85.6
Score
AI commentary
Recent coverage is narrow and mostly tied to the company's May 6, 2026 1Q26 release, the April 8, 2026 Form 20-F filing announcement, and an AP/Zacks earnings snapshot. The checked evidence supports a mixed post-print read: adjusted EPS beat a small consensus, but revenue net of interest expense missed and the company still reported a net loss [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-05-26]. Verified analyst target changes or estimate revisions were unavailable in the reviewed sources, and no usable social packet was provided, so sentiment remains a cautious monitoring setup ahead of the Aug. 10, 2026 2Q26 release.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-05
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-10catalyst2Q26 must confirm that credit costs and monthly earnings stabilized after the 1Q26 resetHigh impact
The May 6, 2026 company release said adjusted net income was AR$6.7 billion excluding severance, net cost of risk eased to 6% from 10% in 4Q25, and March underlying earnings turned positive with the trend extending into April; the next test is whether that improvement carries into the Aug. 10, 2026 2Q26 press release [#IR-2026-05-06] [#IR-2026-07-05].
2026-09-30event2025 Form 20-F filing reduces disclosure friction but does not by itself solve earnings visibilityMedium impact
The April 8, 2026 investor-relations release said the 2025 Form 20-F was filed with SEC financials presented under IFRS without exceptions and flagged significant differences versus the BCRA-based local statements, which helps ADR comparability and diligence but is more of a credibility and transparency checkpoint than a direct earnings driver [#IR-2026-04-08].
2026-12-31catalystFunding mix discipline and digital ecosystem execution remain the main self-help leverHigh impact
Management said 1Q26 deposits fell partly because it intentionally reduced higher-cost wholesale peso funding, while U.S.-dollar loans and deposits rose in original-currency terms, headcount was reduced by 9% in banking, and IOL assets under custody reached US$2.7 billion; if those actions produce a leaner cost base and better cross-sell, normalized returns could improve into late 2026 [#IR-2026-05-06].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-05 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology