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STT

State StreetB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 release showed record revenue, AUC/A, and AUM, broad fee growth, strong operating leverage, capital return, and a visible future-installation pipeline. These support a cautiously positive operating-momentum thesis.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Fee revenue and AUC/A or AUM are sensitive to market levels, currency, client flows, pricing pressure, and the timing of new-business onboarding. [#8-K-2026-07-16]
Momentum
72
Value
54
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $201.75 · Bull $220.00 · Bear $165.00Analysis 2026-07-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $202.93
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d +0.8
Value54 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +3.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fee revenue and AUC/A or AUM are sensitive to market levels, currency, client flows, pricing pressure, and the timing of new-business onboarding. [#8-K-2026-07-16]
  • • Recent Form 4 filings show open-market sales by several executives; this is a sentiment consideration only and does not establish an operating or earnings signal. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-15]
  • • Results remain exposed to market levels, client flows, currency, interest rates, and onboarding timing.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-16

Capital return and medium-term targets reinforce shareholder-return narrative

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
-5.6
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
-1.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 72.0 / Value 54.0 / Sentiment 66.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$201.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$53.03B
Beta
1.44
Shares Out
274.7M
P/E (TTM)
14.1
P/S (TTM)
2.71
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-10.61
Rev YoY
+3.2%
EPS YoY
+68.3%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+20.2%
Net Debt
$26.24B
Current Ratio
4.29
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data