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STRZ

Starz EntertainmentC
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q1 print supports a cautious rerating case: cash generation improved materially, Adjusted OIBDA rose sequentially, 2026 targets were reiterated, and the margin timeline was accelerated [#SEC-8K-2026-05-07].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.6.
What can break
Analyst coverage and revision data are thin; the peer set is not tightly comparable.
Momentum
81
Value
48
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $26.00 · Bull $31.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-07-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $34.67
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d +0.6
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +8.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst coverage and revision data are thin; the peer set is not tightly comparable.
  • • GAAP operating losses and dependence on adjusted metrics may limit valuation support [#SEC-8K-2026-05-07].
  • • STARZ remains a small, leveraged media company with a reported Q1 operating loss of $152.8 million and execution-dependent cash-flow and leverage targets.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

Q2 2026 earnings report on August 7

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+14.3
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.6
Δ21d
+0.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 81.5 / Value 48.2 / Sentiment 63.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$435.47M
Beta
-
Shares Out
17.12M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-3.7
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.79
Rev YoY
-3.7%
EPS YoY
+343.0%
Gross Margin
+38.5%
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
$766.1M
Current Ratio
0.25
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data