B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
STRW
Strawberry Fields REITBNYSE American / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary-source earnings evidence is constructive: revenue, FFO, AFFO, and net income all improved year over year, rent collection stayed at 100%, and management outlined a potential refinancing/growth facility plus a small accretive acquisition path. Packet median target of $14.7917 sits above the $12.95 anchor price.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Leverage remains high: the 10-Q cites approximately $791.4M of total indebtedness and ongoing debt covenants, which keeps refinancing and covenant compliance as core risks. [#10-Q-2026-05-08]
Momentum
60
Value
58
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.25 · Bull $15.50 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $15.56
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d -
Value58 · Δ7d -
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Leverage remains high: the 10-Q cites approximately $791.4M of total indebtedness and ongoing debt covenants, which keeps refinancing and covenant compliance as core risks. [#10-Q-2026-05-08]
- • Low coverage limits confidence because analyst revisions, consensus-surprise framing, and verified post-earnings market reaction were unavailable in the checked materials.
- • This is still a cautious monitoring setup.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-08
Q1 earnings showed rent collection and YoY FFO/AFFO growth
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
60
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 59.8 / Value 58.2 / Sentiment 55.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$14.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$709.02M
Beta
0.18
Shares Out
14.16M
P/E (TTM)
20.9
P/S (TTM)
1.16
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
8.93
Rev YoY
+5.8%
EPS YoY
+2.2%
Gross Margin
+61.0%
Op Margin
+54.5%
Net Debt
$724.59M
Current Ratio
1.71
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data