B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
STRT
Strattec SecurityCNasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The constructive read is that Strattec still produced margin expansion, positive operating cash flow and strong liquidity despite lower production volumes, and management is pointing to incremental Q4 savings plus future platform pursuits as evidence the transformation is not stalling [#EX-99.1-2026-05-07] [#EX-99.2-2026-05-07].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.8.
What can break
Customer concentration remains high: General Motors, Ford and Stellantis represented 65% of nine-month sales and 64% of receivables as of March 29, 2026 [#10-Q-2026-05-08].
Momentum
19
Value
71
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $68.00 · Bull $82.00 · Bear $52.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-25 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $82.00
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -2.9
Value71 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -2.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Customer concentration remains high: General Motors, Ford and Stellantis represented 65% of nine-month sales and 64% of receivables as of March 29, 2026 [#10-Q-2026-05-08].
- • Foreign exchange moved against results, including a $2.5 million gross-profit headwind in Q3 and weaker quarter-over-quarter earnings quality despite margin improvement [#EX-99.1-2026-05-07] [#EX-99.2-2026-05-07].
- • The bearish read is that this was still a demand-constrained quarter: revenue fell 4.5%, EV program cancellations reduced sales, FX hurt earnings quality, and SG&A/engineering remained elevated from transformation and executive-transition costs; with the stock down sharply on May 8, the market appears to doubt how quickly self-help can outrun end-market weakness [#EX-99.1-2026-05-07] [#10-Q-2026-05-08].
Catalyst clock
2026-05-15
Post-earnings digestion and any delayed estimate revisions
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.9
Δ21d
-36.2
Value
71
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.7
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.8
Δ21d
+12.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 19.2 / Value 71.3 / Sentiment 54.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-25
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-25
Market Cap
$341.58M
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
4.18M
P/E (TTM)
13.3
P/S (TTM)
0.55
P/FCF (TTM)
4.91
Rev YoY
-4.5%
EPS YoY
-40.8%
Gross Margin
+16.8%
Op Margin
+5.0%
Net Debt
-$73.29M
Current Ratio
2.63
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data