STNG

Scorpio TankersC

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-06-11

View Chart

AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3

B+

Bull case

25%

Probability

Target price

$96.00

+26.4% vs current

Most likely

Base case

45%

Probability

Target price

$82.00

+8.0% vs current

B-

Bear case

30%

Probability

Target price

$70.00

-7.8% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-05-08

AI commentary

This T+3 follow-up improved the thesis from a pure monitoring setup to a still-cautious hold. The company source confirmed a strong Q1 print, stronger-than-baseline Q2 booking disclosure, large liquidity, and expanded buyback capacity on May 5, 2026. However, I did not retrieve clear delayed analyst target revisions or estimate changes by May 8, 2026, and the May 7 anchor price of $84.69 already sits above the packet’s summarized median target, so the stock looks less obviously mispriced than the operating update alone would suggest. Net: post-earnings tone improved, but confidence should stay moderate because the next leg still depends on freight rates and Q2 fixing rather than a fully de-risked forward view. [#8K-2026-05-05]

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-08

Open post-earnings memo

Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-06-30eventQ2 vessel-sale closings and refinancing can extend the balance-sheet self-help storyMedium impact

The May 5, 2026 filing said Scorpio agreed in April to sell three 2014-built LR2 tankers for $195 million expected to close in Q2 2026, and also received a Bank of America commitment for up to $50.0 million to refinance two 2015-built LR2s at SOFR plus 1.20%. Execution would further reshape the fleet and preserve liquidity flexibility. [#8K-2026-05-05]

2026-06-30catalystQ2 2026 bookings reset higher after the earnings releaseMedium impact

The May 5, 2026 earnings filing showed materially improved second-quarter coverage versus the earlier low-booking setup: as of May 5, LR2 pool/spot days were 41% booked at about $96,000 per day, MR days were 53% booked at about $66,000 per day, and Handymax days were 47% booked at about $61,000 per day. That improves near-term earnings visibility, but the quarter is still not fully fixed and remains rate-sensitive. [#8K-2026-05-05]

2026-12-31catalystNet-cash balance sheet and larger repurchase capacity support per-share value if rates stay constructiveHigh impact

The May 5, 2026 filing reported $1.4 billion of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents plus $711.8 million of undrawn revolver capacity as of May 1, 2026. It also confirmed a $375.0 million 1.75% convertible note deal, concurrent repurchase of about 1.34 million shares at $74.36, and replenishment of the repurchase authorization to $500.0 million. The longer-duration upside is real, but it still depends on freight rates holding up after the Q2 fixing window. [#8K-2026-05-05]

View full catalyst timeline

Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-05-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology