RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

STGW

StagwellA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q2 operating momentum, digital transformation growth, record net new business, and raised adjusted EPS guidance support a constructive medium-term setup if management converts wins and sustains margins.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.
What can break
Acquisition integration, debt compliance, contingent acquisition obligations, and AI execution remain company-identified risks. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
87
Value
63
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.85 · Bull $11.50 · Bear $7.20Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.86
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d +2.9
Value63 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration, debt compliance, contingent acquisition obligations, and AI execution remain company-identified risks. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • Client spending, retention, and concentration among large technology clients could weaken demand.
  • • The recent rally raises the execution bar, while demand from large clients, integration of acquisitions, client retention, leverage, and AI execution remain material risks.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 results and raised 2026 EPS outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
87
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.9
Δ21d
-5.1
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.3
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
-0.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 87.1 / Value 62.6 / Sentiment 79.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.85
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.13B
Beta
1.69
Shares Out
244.48M
P/E (TTM)
66.5
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM)
5.78
Rev YoY
+11.0%
EPS YoY
+63.4%
Gross Margin
+29.8%
Op Margin
+4.5%
Net Debt
$1.5B
Current Ratio
0.81
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data