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STGW

StagwellB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 adjusted EBITDA rose about 15%, Digital Transformation organic net revenue grew 18%, and the adjusted-EPS outlook was raised. Sustained conversion of wins and savings could support further upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Client-spending weakness or delayed conversion of estimated new business into revenue.
Momentum
89
Value
61
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.90 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $6.30Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.71
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d +8.4
Value61 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment51 · Δ7d +0.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Client-spending weakness or delayed conversion of estimated new business into revenue.
  • • Q2 GAAP operating income declined despite higher adjusted EBITDA; adjustments and acquisition-related obligations complicate valuation. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30] SEC earnings presentation
  • • Despite stronger adjusted EBITDA, Q2 GAAP operating income fell to $11.5 million from $23.2 million, and the company reported a GAAP loss attributable to common shareholders.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Q2 results and raised adjusted-EPS outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
89
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.4
Δ21d
+9.3
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-15.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 88.5 / Value 60.5 / Sentiment 51.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$8.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.2B
Beta
1.69
Shares Out
244.48M
P/E (TTM)
66.5
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM)
5.78
Rev YoY
+11.0%
EPS YoY
+63.4%
Gross Margin
+29.8%
Op Margin
+4.5%
Net Debt
$1.5B
Current Ratio
0.81
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data