B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
STGW
StagwellANasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
AI-led digital transformation, record new-business wins, organic growth, cost control, and raised EPS guidance support the possibility of continued earnings delivery and multiple expansion. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-30]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.1.
What can break
Analyst revisions, options data, short interest, social data, and post-earnings market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
Momentum
86
Value
63
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.85 · Bull $11.75 · Bear $6.75Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.86
Why
Momentum86 · Δ7d +1.4
Value63 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +1.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revisions, options data, short interest, social data, and post-earnings market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
- • Margin improvement could reverse if labor costs or client mix deteriorate.
- • The thesis depends on sustaining strong organic growth, converting large wins into revenue, and maintaining margin gains.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-30
Q2 results and raised 2026 EPS outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
86
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
-6.1
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+2.3
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+7.6
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 86.3 / Value 62.6 / Sentiment 78.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.85
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.13B
Beta
1.69
Shares Out
244.48M
P/E (TTM)
66.5
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM)
5.78
Rev YoY
+11.0%
EPS YoY
+63.4%
Gross Margin
+29.8%
Op Margin
+4.5%
Net Debt
$1.5B
Current Ratio
0.81
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data