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ST

SensataA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 5.0% year over year, organic revenue rose 4.4%, and adjusted operating margin improved to 19.5% from 19.0%; repeatable growth, margin gains and cash conversion could support upside [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · AMC.
What can break
Guidance excluded expected payments related to a customer program termination, limiting comparability if received [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
Momentum
69
Value
65
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $47.00 · Bear $34.00Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-27 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $54.11
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d +3.3
Value65 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -1.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Guidance excluded expected payments related to a customer program termination, limiting comparability if received [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
  • • Q2 free cash flow and margin gains may not persist [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
  • • The Q3 guide implies only modest year-over-year adjusted-margin expansion, and roughly $10 million of guided revenue reflects expected tariff-cost recovery rather than incremental profit [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].

Catalyst clock

2026-10-27 · AMC

October 27 Q3 results versus company guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
69
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.3
Δ21d
+16.1
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-0.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 68.7 / Value 65.4 / Sentiment 54.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$5.92B
Beta
1.15
Shares Out
145.54M
P/E (TTM)
40.8
P/S (TTM)
1.39
P/FCF (TTM)
12.62
Rev YoY
+5.1%
EPS YoY
+69.1%
Gross Margin
+27.4%
Op Margin
+14.2%
Net Debt
$2.35B
Current Ratio
2.29
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data