B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.11
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SRAD
Sportradar GroupANasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-04
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-
Unavailable
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+76.0
Score
AI commentary
The official Q2 release is operationally constructive, but the $12.34 price anchor and weak recent tape suggest the market has not yet credited the improvement. The peer set is generic rather than directly comparable, and no reliable post-print analyst revision set, options data, or social coverage is available. This remains a low-conviction monitoring setup rather than a standard-conviction thesis.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-04
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-03eventQ2 operating growth and updated FY26 outlookHigh impact
The official August 3 release reported Q2 revenue of €377.8 million, up 19%, adjusted EBITDA of €76 million, up 19%, free cash flow of €59 million, up 14%, and FY26 constant-currency revenue growth guidance of 19%-21% [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-03]. Consensus comparison is unavailable.
2026-12-31catalystBuybacks and debt-free liquidity provide downside supportMedium impact
Sportradar reported €501 million of total liquidity, no debt outstanding, and $422 million of cumulative share repurchases through July 31, including $311 million in 2026 [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-03].
2027-12-31catalystIMG ARENA monetization and prediction-market expansionHigh impact
Management cited IMG ARENA contributions to Betting & Gaming Content growth and announced multi-year partnerships with Kalshi and Polymarket, alongside Playradar expansion. Execution and regulatory conversion remain unproven [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-03].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-04 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology