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SRAD

Sportradar GroupB
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print supports a constructive operating case: strong revenue growth, higher adjusted EBITDA, positive free-cash-flow growth, IMG ARENA monetization, and new prediction-market distribution channels.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.
What can break
Analyst target count and post-print revisions, options data, social data, and direct operating peers are unavailable.
Momentum
14
Value
68
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.00 · Bull $20.11 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.74
Why
Momentum14 · Δ7d +3.4
Value68 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +2.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target count and post-print revisions, options data, social data, and direct operating peers are unavailable.
  • • Foreign-exchange losses, particularly on U.S.-dollar-denominated sports rights, can overwhelm operating improvement.
  • • Reported earnings remained vulnerable to foreign-exchange losses, U.S.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-03

Q2 operating growth and updated FY26 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
14
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.4
Δ21d
+8.2
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
+3.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 14.4 / Value 68.3 / Sentiment 76.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.11
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.09B
Beta
2.02
Shares Out
307.82M
P/E (TTM)
66.4
P/S (TTM)
4.79
P/FCF (TTM)
38.47
Rev YoY
+22.0%
EPS YoY
-107.5%
Gross Margin
+20.6%
Op Margin
+12.5%
Net Debt
-$355.2M
Current Ratio
0.98
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data