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SRAD

Sportradar GroupB
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 Betting & Gaming Content growth of 27%, IMG ARENA monetization, free-cash-flow generation and the updated 2026 outlook support a potential operating-leverage case. Prediction-market distribution and renewed sports rights could broaden revenue if economics become visible.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Foreign-exchange movements and moderating U.S. market growth offset part of Q2 operating progress.
Momentum
25
Value
68
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $8.50Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.03
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d -2.2
Value68 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -2.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Foreign-exchange movements and moderating U.S. market growth offset part of Q2 operating progress.
  • • Prediction-market expansion depends on execution and a developing regulatory environment.
  • • Q2 profit swung to a €4 million loss amid currency effects despite higher adjusted EBITDA.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Fiscal 2026 outlook delivery

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
25
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-23.2
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-11.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 24.9 / Value 67.6 / Sentiment 51.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$3.93B
Beta
2.02
Shares Out
307.82M
P/E (TTM)
66.4
P/S (TTM)
4.79
P/FCF (TTM)
38.47
Rev YoY
+22.0%
EPS YoY
-107.5%
Gross Margin
+20.6%
Op Margin
+12.5%
Net Debt
-$355.2M
Current Ratio
0.98
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data