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SPRU

Spruce PowerA
NYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 operating profit and EBITDA improved despite lower revenue, supported by cost reductions. Continued debt repayment and a favorable refinancing could make contracted cash flows more valuable to equity holders.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Low coverage, a roughly $30 million market capitalization, and no validated direct peer set limit valuation confidence.
Momentum
87
Value
59
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.45 · Bull $2.15 · Bear $1.00Analysis 2026-10-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-29 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-29

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-29. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d -
Value59 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Low coverage, a roughly $30 million market capitalization, and no validated direct peer set limit valuation confidence.
  • • Portfolio refinancing has no disclosed completion date or terms; $679.5 million of project-level debt remains outstanding. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-12]
  • • Revenue declined year over year, GAAP operating cash flow remained negative, and refinancing terms are unknown.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Test of cost-cutting gains against declining revenue

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
87
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 87.4 / Value 59.4 / Sentiment 66.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$1.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$25.41M
Beta
1.23
Shares Out
19.25M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.9
P/S (TTM)
0.90
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
33.76
Rev YoY
-8.7%
EPS YoY
-191.4%
Gross Margin
+65.0%
Op Margin
+21.4%
Net Debt
$588.75M
Current Ratio
0.40
As of 2026-10-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data