B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$84.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SNEX
StoneX GroupCNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case rests on strong recent operating momentum, continued client activity and balance-related revenue, plus successful R.J. O’Brien integration and synergy realization [#SEC-8K-2026-05-06].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.9.
What can break
Analyst target coverage and post-earnings estimate-revision evidence are limited.
Momentum
25
Value
58
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $71.00 · Bull $84.00 · Bear $56.00Analysis 2026-07-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $75.00
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d +0.9
Value58 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst target coverage and post-earnings estimate-revision evidence are limited.
- • Bad debts and funding sensitivity may rise as the platform grows [#SEC-10Q-2026-05-06].
- • The deterministic prior remains negative across 5-, 20-, 60-, and 120-day horizons.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-20
Three-for-two stock split begins split-adjusted trading
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
+8.4
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-7.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 25.2 / Value 58.2 / Sentiment 63.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-18. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$71.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$56.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.25B
Beta
0.44
Shares Out
120.62M
P/E (TTM)
17.2
P/S (TTM)
0.04
P/FCF (TTM)
1.23
Rev YoY
+15.4%
EPS YoY
+22.6%
Gross Margin
+3.0%
Op Margin
+1.7%
Net Debt
$14.1B
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data