SNDA
Sonida Senior LivingDNYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-08-03
Current thesis
The setup is fundamentally a scale-and-execution story: Sonida closed a transformative merger that more than doubled its owned footprint, while pre-merger 2025 results still showed 5.9% same-store RevPAR growth, a 90 bps same-store occupancy gain and 8.0% same-store NOI growth [#10-K-2026-03-12][#IR-2026-03-11]. If the first combined quarters show stable integration and financing progress, the market can support a higher multiple on a larger private-pay senior-housing platform.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.
What can break
Bridge loan refinancing or property-level financing takes longer or comes at worse terms than hoped.
Momentum
66
Value
42
Sentiment
42
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $32.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $24.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-08-03
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-03 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-08-03
Investment thesis
As of 2026-08-03
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $43.00
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d -8.9
Value42 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment42 · Δ7d +2.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
66
10% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.9
Δ21d
-5.5
Value
42
40% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
42
49% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
-3.6
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 65.6 / Value 42.0 / Sentiment 42.3
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-03
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-03
Market Cap
$1.9B
Beta
0.82
Shares Out
47.35M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-9.5
P/S (TTM)
1.70
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-16.91
Rev YoY
+33.4%
EPS YoY
+209.4%
Gross Margin
+6.7%
Op Margin
-1.7%
Net Debt
$659.4M
Current Ratio
0.44
As of 2026-08-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology