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SMP

Standard Motor ProductsB
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed strong adjusted sales growth, record EBITDA, improved cash flow, lower leverage, and reaffirmed guidance. Continued aftermarket demand and Nissens growth could gradually improve earnings visibility.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
Low coverage leaves post-earnings estimate revisions, target changes, and consensus surprise data unavailable.
Momentum
62
Value
66
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $47.00 · Bear $32.00Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $50.00
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d +16.4
Value66 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +0.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Low coverage leaves post-earnings estimate revisions, target changes, and consensus surprise data unavailable.
  • • Recent officer open-market sales are a sentiment overhang but do not establish operating deterioration [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-18] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-20].
  • • The stock still faces seasonal demand variability, secular wire-set decline, tariff-related margin uncertainty, limited analyst coverage, and recent officer open-market sales.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 earnings beat with full-year guide reaffirmed

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
62
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+16.4
Δ21d
+18.6
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+10.1
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
-6.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 62.1 / Value 66.3 / Sentiment 65.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$865.91M
Beta
0.75
Shares Out
22.34M
P/E (TTM)
11.9
P/S (TTM)
0.47
P/FCF (TTM)
44.82
Rev YoY
+1.6%
EPS YoY
+18.0%
Gross Margin
+31.5%
Op Margin
+11.0%
Net Debt
$662.06M
Current Ratio
2.00
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data