B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SLGN
SilganBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print was above the guidance midpoint, full-year EPS and free-cash-flow targets were maintained, and growth in fragrance dispensing and pet-food containers plus Custom Containers optimization supports a constructive second-half setup.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.0.
What can break
Brazilian volume weakness may persist into Q3 and delay recovery.
Momentum
24
Value
64
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $45.00 · Bull $55.00 · Bear $33.00Analysis 2026-07-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $55.31
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d +2.0
Value64 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +14.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Brazilian volume weakness may persist into Q3 and delay recovery.
- • Higher raw-material costs, unfavorable mix, and corporate development expense could pressure margins.
- • The quality of growth is mixed: Q2 sales growth was driven largely by raw-material pass-through, adjusted EPS declined year over year, Metal Containers adjusted EBIT fell, Brazil remained weak, and order timing could delay volume recovery.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-29
Q2 results exceeded the guidance midpoint while full-year outlook held
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
-3.7
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.0
Δ21d
+8.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 24.1 / Value 63.9 / Sentiment 74.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-31. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.4B
Beta
0.72
Shares Out
105.68M
P/E (TTM)
14.1
P/S (TTM)
0.68
P/FCF (TTM)
11.64
Rev YoY
+6.8%
EPS YoY
-13.7%
Gross Margin
+17.1%
Op Margin
+9.6%
Net Debt
$3.54B
Current Ratio
1.27
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data