B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SKY
Champion HomesBNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The strongest bull argument is that Champion is still producing sales growth, stable adjusted gross margin, modest adjusted EBITDA expansion, and sequential backlog improvement while keeping a strong cash position, which leaves room for retail expansion and product investment [#SEC-8K-2026-05-26].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.6.
What can break
Backlog was still down year over year despite sequential improvement, leaving limited room for disappointment if conversion weakens.
Momentum
84
Value
51
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $86.00 · Bull $98.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-07-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $103.50
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d +15.2
Value51 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +6.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Backlog was still down year over year despite sequential improvement, leaving limited room for disappointment if conversion weakens.
- • Housing demand remains rate- and affordability-sensitive, so softer order intake could offset Champion's channel and product initiatives.
- • The bear case is that year-over-year backlog remains down, unit volumes were slightly lower in the U.S., net income fell because of non-core charges, and secondary coverage after earnings flagged outlook concerns, leaving the setup more monitoring-oriented than clearly bullish.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-31
Fiscal Q4 results showed sales growth and sequential backlog recovery
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
84
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.2
Δ21d
+4.9
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-2.0
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.6
Δ21d
+12.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 83.6 / Value 51.2 / Sentiment 66.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$86.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.06B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
54.28M
P/E (TTM)
22.2
P/S (TTM)
1.82
P/FCF (TTM)
23.38
Rev YoY
+1.3%
EPS YoY
-20.9%
Gross Margin
+25.5%
Op Margin
+8.9%
Net Debt
-$492.83M
Current Ratio
2.74
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data