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SKIL

SkillsoftA
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Adjusted EPS of $1.17 exceeded the cited $0.83 consensus, adjusted EBITDA rose 7%, margin expanded to 34%, and enterprise revenue was roughly stable despite lingering federal-bookings effects. Successful AI-product monetization and refinancing could create substantial upside from the depressed equity value.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Approximately $575 million of gross debt and $481 million of net debt dwarf the equity market capitalization; refinancing timing and terms remain undisclosed.
Momentum
1
Value
69
Sentiment
100
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.50 · Bull $10.00 · Bear $4.00Analysis 2026-09-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.00
Why
Momentum1 · Δ7d -
Value69 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment100 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Approximately $575 million of gross debt and $481 million of net debt dwarf the equity market capitalization; refinancing timing and terms remain undisclosed.
  • • Consumer coding-learning demand is deteriorating faster as AI substitutes for portions of traditional development training.
  • • Revenue of $98.2 million was modestly below the approximately $99 million expectation, and management reduced full-year revenue guidance because consumer coding-learning demand is being disrupted by AI.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-15

Consumer weakness tests reduced revenue outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
1
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
100
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 1.4 / Value 68.6 / Sentiment 100.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$6.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$69.23M
Beta
1.74
Shares Out
8.97M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.5
P/S (TTM)
0.13
P/FCF (TTM)
2.54
Rev YoY
-4.7%
EPS YoY
+7.1%
Gross Margin
+49.6%
Op Margin
-6.2%
Net Debt
$481.79M
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data