B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SKIL
SkillsoftANYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Enterprise stabilization, early AI-product adoption and Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin of 34% could support equity upside if bookings convert to revenue and refinancing preserves shareholder value [#SEC-8K-2026-09-09] (earnings exhibit).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
AI-platform adoption remains early; bookings may not become durable revenue.
Momentum
1
Value
69
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.50 · Bull $9.50 · Bear $1.50Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-30 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-11-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-02
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-02. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.00
Why
Momentum1 · Δ7d -
Value69 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment73 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AI-platform adoption remains early; bookings may not become durable revenue.
- • Approximately $578.6 million of term-loan principal was outstanding at July 31; the loans mature July 16, 2028, and favorable refinancing is not assured [#10-Q-2026-09-09] (10-Q).
- • The revenue-guidance cut, consumer disruption and large secured debt burden could overwhelm operating improvements.
Catalyst clock
2027-01-31
FY2027 cash-flow and margin delivery
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
1
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
69
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
73
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 1.4 / Value 68.8 / Sentiment 73.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-30
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-30
Market Cap
$43.23M
Beta
1.74
Shares Out
9.1M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.3
P/S (TTM)
0.13
P/FCF (TTM)
2.54
Rev YoY
-4.7%
EPS YoY
+7.1%
Gross Margin
+49.6%
Op Margin
-6.2%
Net Debt
$481.79M
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-11-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data