B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SII
SprottBNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The strongest bull argument is that FY2025 operating momentum was real: year-end AUM reached $59.6 billion, rose further to $70.1 billion by February 13, 2026, and adjusted EBITDA expanded sharply, giving Sprott room to support both product growth and capital returns [#PR-2026-02-19].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.
What can break
AUM and earnings remain highly sensitive to precious-metals and critical-materials market levels.
Momentum
87
Value
48
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $142.00 · Bull $170.00 · Bear $118.00Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $138.66
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d +5.6
Value48 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +2.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AUM and earnings remain highly sensitive to precious-metals and critical-materials market levels.
- • NCIB authorization does not guarantee meaningful repurchases; disclosed usage in the prior window was modest relative to capacity [#PR-2026-03-06].
- • The bear case is that the stock already discounts a large part of the precious-metals-driven AUM surge, while forward visibility is still narrow and earnings remain exposed to market levels, flow durability and product-specific execution; management's own filings also flag difficult market conditions, poor investment performance and funding/cash-obligation risks [#PR-2026-02-19].
Catalyst clock
2026-05-06
Annual meeting and capital-allocation readthrough
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
87
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+25.8
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-7.9
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
-0.4
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 86.8 / Value 47.8 / Sentiment 68.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$142.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.13B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
25.73M
P/E (TTM)
54.3
P/S (TTM)
12.64
P/FCF (TTM)
68.73
Rev YoY
+21.1%
EPS YoY
+154.1%
Gross Margin
+92.5%
Op Margin
+35.6%
Net Debt
-$124.08M
Current Ratio
3.43
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data