B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$2.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SIEB
Siebert FinancialDNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Siebert has demonstrated growth in stock borrow/stock loan and investment banking, while the Green Pier clearing relationship and Arqitech investment could create future platform or digital-asset optionality. The bull case requires sustained core-line growth and visible operating leverage [#SEC-10Q-2026-05-15].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Higher personnel, technology, professional, and advertising costs may outpace growth in recurring operating lines.
Momentum
100
Value
56
Sentiment
25
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.35 · Bull $2.05 · Bear $0.90Analysis 2026-07-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d -
Value56 · Δ7d +0.8
Sentiment25 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Higher personnel, technology, professional, and advertising costs may outpace growth in recurring operating lines.
- • Low coverage, absent social data, and loose peers limit confirmation of the thesis.
- • Q1 revenue declined year over year, the company moved to a net loss, operating expenses increased materially, and operating cash flow was negative.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
Arqitech debt repayment checkpoint
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
100
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
25
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 99.8 / Value 55.6 / Sentiment 25.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$1.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
40%
Probability
Target price
$0.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$79.74M
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
41.1M
P/E (TTM)
20.3
P/S (TTM)
1.65
P/FCF (TTM)
3.48
Rev YoY
+109.6%
EPS YoY
-93.2%
Gross Margin
+94.8%
Op Margin
+0.5%
Net Debt
-$195.34M
Current Ratio
0.36
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data