B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$2.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SIEB
Siebert FinancialCNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Siebert has demonstrated growth in stock borrow/stock loan and investment banking, while the Green Pier clearing relationship and Arqitech investment could create future platform or digital-asset optionality. The bull case requires sustained core-line growth and visible operating leverage [#SEC-10Q-2026-05-15].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Higher personnel, technology, professional, and advertising costs may outpace growth in recurring operating lines.
Momentum
100
Value
56
Sentiment
36
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.35 · Bull $2.05 · Bear $0.90Analysis 2026-07-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d -
Value56 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment36 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Higher personnel, technology, professional, and advertising costs may outpace growth in recurring operating lines.
- • Low coverage, absent social data, and loose peers limit confirmation of the thesis.
- • Q1 revenue declined year over year, the company moved to a net loss, operating expenses increased materially, and operating cash flow was negative.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
Arqitech debt repayment checkpoint
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
100
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+2.7
Sentiment
36
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 99.8 / Value 56.2 / Sentiment 35.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$1.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
40%
Probability
Target price
$0.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$77.27M
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
42.22M
P/E (TTM)
20.3
P/S (TTM)
1.65
P/FCF (TTM)
3.48
Rev YoY
+109.6%
EPS YoY
-93.2%
Gross Margin
+94.8%
Op Margin
+0.5%
Net Debt
-$195.34M
Current Ratio
0.36
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data