SHOP

ShopifyD

Nasdaq / Software & Services

At close

2026-06-02

Current thesis

Shopify scales merchant monetization (Payments, Fulfillment, add-ons) and sustains GMV growth, driving revenue and margin expansion that supports re-rating toward the high‑$100s to ~$200 area.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

News driver: Shopify Stock Tanks After Earnings Beat. Weak Outlook in Focus.

What can break

Failure to monetize Payments/Fulfillment as expected

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $180.00 · Bull $200.00 · Bear $122.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-02

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-02 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-02

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $159.22

Why

Momentum11 · Δ7d +3.8

Value47 · Δ7d -0.3

Sentiment64 · Δ7d -9.6

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+3.8

Δ21d

-10.5

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.3

Δ21d

-0.2

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-9.6

Δ21d

-9.6

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 10.6 / Value 47.4 / Sentiment 64.2

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-02

Market Cap

$151.86B

Beta

2.84

Shares Out

1.3B

P/E (TTM)

122.4

P/S (TTM)

20.23

P/FCF (TTM)

113.70

Rev YoY

+31.5%

EPS YoY

-68.4%

Gross Margin

+48.7%

Op Margin

+12.2%

Net Debt

-$4.56B

Current Ratio

3.93

As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology