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SHOP

ShopifyA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
Q1 showed broad-based growth across geographies, merchant sizes, and channels, with $100.7 billion of GMV, 34% revenue growth, and a 15% FCF margin. The $151.115 median target implies approximately 22% upside from the $123.56 anchor, while the DoorDash integration adds a potential distribution tailwind.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -27.0.
What can break
Direct operating comparators are now available, but their business mixes differ: Commerce is composable ecommerce, Wix is broader website creation, and Lightspeed is more POS and hospitality oriented.
Momentum
63
Value
48
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $151.12 · Bull $175.00 · Bear $105.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $151.12
Why
Momentum63 · Δ7d +14.3
Value48 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment85 · Δ7d -27.0
So what
Strength-led posture. Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
63
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+14.3
Δ21d
+18.0
Value
48
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
85
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-27.0
Δ21d
-29.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 63.2 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 84.7

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$160.46B
Beta
2.84
Shares Out
1.3B
P/E (TTM)
122.4
P/S (TTM)
20.23
P/FCF (TTM)
113.70
Rev YoY
+34.3%
EPS YoY
-15.3%
Gross Margin
+47.8%
Op Margin
+12.2%
Net Debt
-$5.59B
Current Ratio
6.20
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology