B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
SHOO
Steven MaddenBNasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Steven Madden outperforms if stable consumer discretionary demand, better-than-expected margin recovery, and market share gains in casual and fashion segments; upside driven by multiple expansion toward peer premium levels.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Analyst downgrades or consensus-target compression
Momentum
55
Value
53
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $46.00 · Bull $52.00 · Bear $37.00Analysis 2026-01-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $52.40
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d +7.1
Value53 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d -1.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst downgrades or consensus-target compression
- • Currency or sourcing cost pressures
- • Weak discretionary spending, inventory markdowns or margin pressure from cost inflation could push consensus estimates lower and compress the multiple, driving shares toward analyst lows.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-10
Analyst target revisions / consensus update
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
55
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.1
Δ21d
-15.4
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+9.0
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
+9.9
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 54.6 / Value 52.6 / Sentiment 74.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-10. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.41B
Beta
1.11
Shares Out
73.18M
P/E (TTM)
55.4
P/S (TTM)
1.34
P/FCF (TTM)
43.78
Rev YoY
+19.1%
EPS YoY
-169.0%
Gross Margin
+44.7%
Op Margin
+9.0%
Net Debt
$373.72M
Current Ratio
1.91
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data