B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$29.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SFD
Smithfield FoodsBNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print showed record adjusted operating profit, stronger net income, improved consolidated margin, and healthy liquidity. Branded-category share gains and vertical integration could support earnings resilience if macro pressure moderates.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-11.
What can break
FY2026 adjusted operating-profit guidance was reduced to $1.225-$1.375 billion from $1.325-$1.475 billion. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
Momentum
16
Value
67
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $22.50 · Bull $29.40 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $26.80
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d +2.9
Value67 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +14.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-11.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • FY2026 adjusted operating-profit guidance was reduced to $1.225-$1.375 billion from $1.325-$1.475 billion. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
- • Fresh Pork and Hog Production profitability remains exposed to demand, commodity, and input-cost volatility; both FY2026 guidance ranges were lowered. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
- • The outlook reduction is the clearest forward signal: sales moved to roughly flat from low-single-digit growth, while total and segment profit ranges were lowered because of cautious consumers and higher input costs.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-11
Q2 FY2026 results delivered a mixed earnings reset
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.9
Δ21d
-2.1
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+9.6
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.0
Δ21d
+11.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 16.4 / Value 67.0 / Sentiment 73.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$22.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.9B
Beta
-
Shares Out
393.11M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
9.0
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
25.76
Rev YoY
-3.8%
EPS YoY
+25.8%
Gross Margin
+13.4%
Op Margin
+8.6%
Net Debt
$857M
Current Ratio
2.56
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data