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SF

Stifel FinancialB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record revenue, strong investment-banking growth, expanding wealth-management assets, improved margins, and management's positive momentum commentary support a constructive earnings-power case. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
12 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Credit-loss provisions increased year over year and could rise with loan growth or weaker credits.
Momentum
40
Value
54
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
12 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $89.00 · Bull $98.00 · Bear $71.00Analysis 2026-07-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $90.14
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d -3.6
Value54 · Δ7d -8.9
Sentiment69 · Δ7d +3.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 12 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Credit-loss provisions increased year over year and could rise with loan growth or weaker credits.
  • • Investment-banking and capital-raising revenue can normalize after a strong quarter.
  • • Investment-banking activity is cyclical, lower interest rates pressured net interest income, and credit-loss provisions increased year over year.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-22

Q2 2026 results confirmed record operating momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
40
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-3.6
Δ21d
-28.7
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.9
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.6
Δ21d
+6.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 40.3 / Value 54.1 / Sentiment 69.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$89.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$71.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$12.68B
Beta
1.14
Shares Out
151M
P/E (TTM)
23.5
P/S (TTM)
2.19
P/FCF (TTM)
15.91
Rev YoY
+9.8%
EPS YoY
+50.5%
Gross Margin
+87.5%
Op Margin
+21.3%
Net Debt
-$103.23M
Current Ratio
1.49
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data