B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SES
SES AIDNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q1 revenue exceeded published consensus, gross margin improved to 18.1%, guidance was reaffirmed, and ATG EPower, drone capacity, and Molecular Universe subscriptions provide identifiable commercialization paths [#SEC-8K-2026-04-23] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-04-24].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Analyst coverage and post-earnings revision data are limited or unavailable.
Momentum
79
Value
34
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.45 · Bull $1.10 · Bear $0.18Analysis 2026-07-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $2.55
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d -
Value34 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst coverage and post-earnings revision data are limited or unavailable.
- • Drone commercialization depends on qualification, NDAA supply-chain audits, and customer conversion.
- • The July NYSE deficiency notice is a material technical and confidence risk.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-22
NYSE continued-listing cure process
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
79
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
53
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 79.3 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 53.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.18
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$210.16M
Beta
0.58
Shares Out
369.28M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.6
P/S (TTM)
42.08
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-3.14
Rev YoY
+43.8%
EPS YoY
-22.1%
Gross Margin
-17.5%
Op Margin
-312.8%
Net Debt
-$190.69M
Current Ratio
6.52
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data