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SERV

Serve RoboticsB
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue grew 404% year over year to $3.2 million, recurring revenue exceeded 50% of the mix, DoorDash revenue advanced nearly 50% sequentially, and healthcare contracts expanded. Cash and marketable securities of $240.4 million provide meaningful operating flexibility relative to the current scale.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Approximately 86 million shares were outstanding at June 30, making future capital requirements and dilution important despite the $240.4 million liquidity balance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
3
Value
32
Sentiment
100
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.00 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $2.25Analysis 2026-09-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.50
Why
Momentum3 · Δ7d -2.6
Value32 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment100 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Approximately 86 million shares were outstanding at June 30, making future capital requirements and dilution important despite the $240.4 million liquidity balance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Commercial progress must translate into higher utilization and better unit economics; partnership announcements alone do not establish profitable volume.
  • • The reduction of 2026 revenue guidance from $26 million to $9-$10 million reveals weak near-term visibility and heavy partner dependence.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Revised 2026 plan becomes the key execution test

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
3
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
-19.8
Value
32
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
100
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+31.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 3.3 / Value 32.1 / Sentiment 100.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$254.92M
Beta
-
Shares Out
86.71M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.8
P/S (TTM)
485.50
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.26
Rev YoY
+404.4%
EPS YoY
+120.3%
Gross Margin
-370.1%
Op Margin
-2448.0%
Net Debt
-$228.16M
Current Ratio
12.83
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data