B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$101.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SCI
Service InternationalANYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Strong cemetery execution, growing preneed production, improving funeral-volume trends, higher cash-flow guidance, and disciplined shareholder returns support a positive medium-term setup. The Q2 release also described expected second-half revenue growth and margin expansion [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.
What can break
Cemetery selling compensation is recognized before related deferred preneed revenue, creating near-term margin pressure and execution risk during backlog conversion [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-01].
Momentum
57
Value
54
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $92.00 · Bull $101.00 · Bear $77.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $100.33
Why
Momentum57 · Δ7d -12.9
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment81 · Δ7d +7.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cemetery selling compensation is recognized before related deferred preneed revenue, creating near-term margin pressure and execution risk during backlog conversion [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-01].
- • Funeral services performed declined 1.7% year over year in Q2; preliminary July stabilization is not yet a durable demand trend [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-01].
- • The EPS midpoint was reaffirmed rather than raised, funeral services performed still declined 1.7% year over year, and selling compensation continues to pressure cemetery margins before deferred preneed revenue is recognized.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-03
Q2 results confirmed EPS outlook and raised cash-flow guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
57
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.9
Δ21d
-21.3
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
81
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.8
Δ21d
+4.4
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 56.7 / Value 54.2 / Sentiment 81.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$77.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$11.25B
Beta
1.00
Shares Out
136.29M
P/E (TTM)
21.1
P/S (TTM)
2.56
P/FCF (TTM)
24.99
Rev YoY
+3.6%
EPS YoY
+5.0%
Gross Margin
+26.0%
Op Margin
+22.4%
Net Debt
$4.97B
Current Ratio
0.53
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data