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SBLK

Star Bulk CarriersB
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print materially improved the earnings backdrop: revenue, cash generation, TCE, and dividend payout all strengthened, while management described the dry-bulk supply-demand balance as constructive and expects five additional newbuildings in H2 2026. [#IR-2026-08-05]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Dry-bulk charter rates can normalize quickly, reducing earnings and dividend capacity.
Momentum
92
Value
61
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $30.50 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $24.50Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $35.46
Why
Momentum92 · Δ7d -0.8
Value61 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +6.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dry-bulk charter rates can normalize quickly, reducing earnings and dividend capacity.
  • • Five remaining newbuildings require approximately $122M of capital expenditures, creating execution and financing sensitivity.
  • • Dry-bulk earnings remain rate-sensitive, and Q2 benefited from strong charter rates plus an approximately $21M bunker-sale gain linked to higher bunker prices.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

Strong Q2 2026 earnings and dividend

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
92
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
+14.2
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+5.9
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.0
Δ21d
-1.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 92.1 / Value 61.3 / Sentiment 59.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$30.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.43B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
113.85M
P/E (TTM)
37.2
P/S (TTM)
2.12
P/FCF (TTM)
15.33
Rev YoY
+44.5%
EPS YoY
+432900.0%
Gross Margin
+35.4%
Op Margin
+27.8%
Net Debt
$727.45M
Current Ratio
1.91
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data