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SBLK

Star Bulk CarriersB
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 voyage revenue reached $357.4 million versus $247.4 million a year earlier, with net income of $144.9 million. Sustained charter rates and efficient newbuild deployment could support cash returns.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Charter-rate and vessel-value volatility could sharply reduce earnings and the variable dividend.
Momentum
69
Value
61
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $36.00 · Bear $20.00Analysis 2026-10-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $36.18
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d -5.2
Value61 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -3.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Charter-rate and vessel-value volatility could sharply reduce earnings and the variable dividend.
  • • Recent Form 4 activity is mixed; the October 14 amendment should not be double-counted as another sale. Insider activity does not establish operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-10-14]
  • • Dry-bulk rates can reverse quickly.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Remaining Kamsarmax deliveries and financing

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
69
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-5.2
Δ21d
-16.7
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
-10.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 69.1 / Value 60.6 / Sentiment 51.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.25B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
111.99M
P/E (TTM)
37.2
P/S (TTM)
2.12
P/FCF (TTM)
15.33
Rev YoY
+44.5%
EPS YoY
+432900.0%
Gross Margin
+35.4%
Op Margin
+27.8%
Net Debt
$727.45M
Current Ratio
1.91
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data