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SBGI

SinclairC
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that political advertising momentum, improved EBITDA guidance, live-sports reach, and continued debt reduction convert into stronger cash generation and a rerating [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.
What can break
Core advertising guidance was reduced amid political crowd-out and advertiser caution [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Momentum
43
Value
56
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.00 · Bull $20.00 · Bear $9.50Analysis 2026-08-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.17
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d +8.5
Value56 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Core advertising guidance was reduced amid political crowd-out and advertiser caution [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
  • • Distribution trends are only described as modestly stabilized, leaving ongoing subscriber and partner risk.
  • • The bear case is that political growth mainly crowds out core advertising, advertiser caution persists, distribution remains structurally pressured, and approximately $4.1 billion of debt limits equity upside.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-14

Q2 results and guidance raise support near-term sentiment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
43
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.5
Δ21d
+11.4
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-6.4
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
+4.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 42.7 / Value 55.7 / Sentiment 63.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.03B
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
72.32M
P/E (TTM)
20.5
P/S (TTM)
0.32
P/FCF (TTM)
7.48
Rev YoY
+7.1%
EPS YoY
+14.5%
Gross Margin
+37.4%
Op Margin
+5.9%
Net Debt
$3.65B
Current Ratio
1.94
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data