SAIA
SaiaFNasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that Saia delivered higher first-quarter revenue, matched prior-year EPS, showed shipment growth and March improvement, and continued to de-lever while holding 2026 capex well below 2025. If that translates into better network absorption over the next quarter, the stock can defend more of its premium multiple.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
Higher group health claims, workers' compensation, purchased transportation, fuel expense, and depreciation were explicit first-quarter cost headwinds.
Momentum
24
Value
48
Sentiment
40
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $406.00 · Bull $485.00 · Bear $335.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $472.65
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d -5.9
Value48 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment40 · Δ7d -6.6
So what
Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
24
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-5.9
Δ21d
-26.5
Value
48
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
40
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.6
Δ21d
-3.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 24.3 / Value 48.2 / Sentiment 39.5
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$11.65B
Beta
2.09
Shares Out
26.67M
P/E (TTM)
33.4
P/S (TTM)
2.91
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
60.14
Rev YoY
+2.4%
EPS YoY
+0.0%
Gross Margin
+10.4%
Op Margin
+12.1%
Net Debt
$285.27M
Current Ratio
1.52
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology