SAFE
SafeholdCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
The best post-print read is that Q1 showed continued portfolio growth, a still-developing origination pipeline, rising UCA, meaningful liquidity, and ongoing share repurchases at a deep discount, which can support a value-recovery case if funded deal volume accelerates.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
A large part of the thesis still depends on market acceptance of UCA and residual-value framing, which management itself qualifies with limitations and risk-factor language. [#8-K-2026-04-30]
Momentum
62
Value
58
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $12.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.64
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d +6.0
Value58 · Δ7d -
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -3.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
62
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.0
Δ21d
+13.8
Value
58
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
45
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.7
Δ21d
-6.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 61.7 / Value 57.6 / Sentiment 44.9
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$1.2B
Beta
1.85
Shares Out
71.61M
P/E (TTM)
8.8
P/S (TTM)
2.63
P/FCF (TTM)
150.34
Rev YoY
+2.1%
EPS YoY
-2.2%
Gross Margin
+93.6%
Op Margin
+25.5%
Net Debt
$4.62B
Current Ratio
451.35
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology