SAFE
SafeholdBNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
The best post-print read is that Q1 showed continued portfolio growth, a still-developing origination pipeline, rising UCA, meaningful liquidity, and ongoing share repurchases at a deep discount, which can support a value-recovery case if funded deal volume accelerates.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
A large part of the thesis still depends on market acceptance of UCA and residual-value framing, which management itself qualifies with limitations and risk-factor language. [#8-K-2026-04-30]
Momentum
61
Value
58
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $12.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.64
Why
Momentum61 · Δ7d +7.7
Value58 · Δ7d -
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -9.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
61
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+7.7
Δ21d
+1.5
Value
58
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
45
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.4
Δ21d
-5.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 60.6 / Value 57.6 / Sentiment 45.2
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$1.17B
Beta
1.85
Shares Out
71.61M
P/E (TTM)
8.8
P/S (TTM)
2.63
P/FCF (TTM)
150.34
Rev YoY
+2.1%
EPS YoY
-2.2%
Gross Margin
+93.6%
Op Margin
+25.5%
Net Debt
$4.62B
Current Ratio
451.35
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

