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RYAAY

RyanairB
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Traffic growth, high load factors, a debt-free balance sheet, fuel hedging and constrained European short-haul capacity support Ryanair’s structural cost and growth position. The company remains on track for 216 million FY27 passengers and targets over 300 million by FY34.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.
What can break
Environmental taxes, crew pay, maintenance and aircraft-delivery delays could offset traffic growth.
Momentum
20
Value
65
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $57.00 · Bull $68.00 · Bear $45.00Analysis 2026-09-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $68.01
Why
Momentum20 · Δ7d -8.7
Value65 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d +5.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Environmental taxes, crew pay, maintenance and aircraft-delivery delays could offset traffic growth.
  • • Fuel-price exposure remains material on the 20% of FY27 requirements that is unhedged.
  • • The latest quarter showed a 34% PAT decline, 6% lower average fares, 11% higher operating costs and no FY27 PAT guidance.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-30

Late-summer bookings and fare outcome

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
20
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.7
Δ21d
-1.9
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
-10.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 19.6 / Value 65.0 / Sentiment 69.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$57.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$28.92B
Beta
1.20
Shares Out
519.3M
P/E (TTM)
13.6
P/S (TTM)
2.09
P/FCF (TTM)
15.87
Rev YoY
+3.7%
EPS YoY
-31.4%
Gross Margin
+18.6%
Op Margin
+13.6%
Net Debt
-$2.4B
Current Ratio
0.79
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data