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RUSHA

Rush EnterprisesA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 results suggest the industry may be moving past the trough, with improving freight rates, customer sentiment, quoting activity, and order intake. Rush’s diversified dealership, parts, service, leasing, rental, and maintenance operations could support earnings resilience if order conversion improves [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -16.8.
What can break
Analyst target coverage is incomplete, and options, short-interest, social, and employee-sentiment data are unavailable.
Momentum
63
Value
65
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $55.00 · Bull $64.00 · Bear $41.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $59.67
Why
Momentum63 · Δ7d -14.1
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d -16.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -16.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target coverage is incomplete, and options, short-interest, social, and employee-sentiment data are unavailable.
  • • Commercial-vehicle demand, freight rates, customer sentiment, and order conversion remain cyclical and the recovery is still early-stage.
  • • The recovery is explicitly early-stage, so higher order intake may not yet translate into sustained deliveries or margins.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-24

Post-split dividend payment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
63
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.1
Δ21d
-11.2
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-16.8
Δ21d
+4.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 63.2 / Value 65.2 / Sentiment 76.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.36B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
77.82M
P/E (TTM)
16.6
P/S (TTM)
0.56
P/FCF (TTM)
6.76
Rev YoY
-1.6%
EPS YoY
+0.8%
Gross Margin
+18.7%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
$1.23B
Current Ratio
1.45
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data