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RRGB

Red Robin Gourmet BurgersD
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
View Chart
Current thesis
The First Choice plan is showing some operational traction: 2025 adjusted EBITDA rose to $69.7 million from $45.6 million, restaurant-level margin improved to 12.7%, and management said December traffic outperformed the casual-dining industry for the first time since Q3 2024. If that carries into positive 2026 comps, the equity can rebound sharply from a distressed base.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
Consumer softness, commodity inflation, tariffs, or labor cost pressure could erase the modest 2026 guidance cushion.
Momentum
100
Value
49
Sentiment
2
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.80 · Bull $6.50 · Bear $1.80
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.13
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d +0.5
Value49 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment2 · Δ7d -1.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
100
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+3.0
Value
49
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
2
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
+2.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 99.5 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 2.0

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$128.94M
Beta
2.32
Shares Out
18.5M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-5.3
P/S (TTM)
0.06
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-95.09
Rev YoY
-3.6%
EPS YoY
-276.2%
Gross Margin
+10.1%
Op Margin
-2.2%
Net Debt
$491.11M
Current Ratio
0.47
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology