B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RPM
RPM InternationalBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Performance Coatings sales rose 10.2% and its adjusted EBITDA rose 18.2%; consolidated organic sales rose 3.1%, and operating cash flow reached $263.9 million. These results support resilience outside CPG, but do not establish a group-wide acceleration.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.
What can break
A customer bankruptcy increased bad-debt expense by $4.4 million, and a small European business incurred a $6.3 million warranty charge. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-06]
Momentum
53
Value
55
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $110.00 · Bull $125.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-10-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $123.53
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d -10.2
Value55 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +1.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A customer bankruptcy increased bad-debt expense by $4.4 million, and a small European business incurred a $6.3 million warranty charge. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-06]
- • Construction Products Group's Q1 organic sales fell 1.7% and adjusted EBITDA fell 9.7%; delayed healthcare and education projects may persist. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-06]
- • CPG project delays, raw-material shortages and lower fixed-cost absorption drove a 9.7% decline in segment adjusted EBITDA.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-30
Fiscal Q1 beat, but softer full-year outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
53
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.2
Δ21d
+5.0
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
63
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
-25.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 53.0 / Value 54.9 / Sentiment 62.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$12.59B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
127.53M
P/E (TTM)
19.7
P/S (TTM)
1.80
P/FCF (TTM)
53.19
Rev YoY
+7.2%
EPS YoY
-1.4%
Gross Margin
+41.4%
Op Margin
+12.5%
Net Debt
$2.63B
Current Ratio
1.68
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data