RPD

Rapid7B

Nasdaq / Software & Services

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

The constructive case is that Rapid7 still has a sizable customer base, recurring-revenue platform, free-cash-flow generation, and active product-extension efforts, while governance pressure from JANA could sharpen capital allocation or operating discipline. This is not enough to support a strong bullish thesis without evidence of renewed ARR or revenue acceleration.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.1.

What can break

Forward visibility is limited: the quality gate flags no well-supported forward-looking company-specific operating catalyst beyond monitoring checkpoints.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $6.60 · Bull $9.00 · Bear $4.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $7.84

Why

Momentum99 · Δ7d +1.1

Value65 · Δ7d +1.1

Sentiment12 · Δ7d +8.3

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+1.1

Δ21d

+60.1

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+1.1

Δ21d

-0.8

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+8.3

Δ21d

-20.6

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 98.6 / Value 64.7 / Sentiment 12.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$709.07M

Beta

0.80

Shares Out

66.83M

P/E (TTM)

48.7

P/S (TTM)

1.07

P/FCF (TTM)

5.87

Rev YoY

-0.3%

EPS YoY

-48.5%

Gross Margin

+68.7%

Op Margin

+1.5%

Net Debt

$493.7M

Current Ratio

0.74

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology