RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

RPD

Rapid7C
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Rapid7 retains substantial liquidity, generated $31.9 million of Q2 free cash flow, and is redirecting investment toward core security operations and AI capabilities. Product, channel, and public-sector initiatives could support stabilization if execution improves.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +24.7.
What can break
ARR and revenue contraction may persist.
Momentum
79
Value
63
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.80 · Bull $13.00 · Bear $7.80Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.96
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d -10.8
Value63 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d +24.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +24.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ARR and revenue contraction may persist.
  • • Analyst coverage, revision data, and direct operating peers are limited.
  • • Revenue and ARR both declined year over year, while management is undertaking a strategic focus and operating-model reset.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-10

Q2 results confirm a contractionary operating reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
79
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.8
Δ21d
-15.4
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+24.7
Δ21d
+26.6
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 78.6 / Value 62.6 / Sentiment 55.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$7.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$833.75M
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
67.4M
P/E (TTM)
48.7
P/S (TTM)
1.07
P/FCF (TTM)
5.87
Rev YoY
-1.5%
EPS YoY
-30.6%
Gross Margin
+68.4%
Op Margin
+1.5%
Net Debt
$493.7M
Current Ratio
0.76
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data