RPD

Rapid7C

Nasdaq / Software & Services

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

The constructive case is that Rapid7 still has a sizable customer base, recurring-revenue platform, free-cash-flow generation, and active product-extension efforts, while governance pressure from JANA could sharpen capital allocation or operating discipline. This is not enough to support a strong bullish thesis without evidence of renewed ARR or revenue acceleration.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.6.

What can break

Forward visibility is limited: the quality gate flags no well-supported forward-looking company-specific operating catalyst beyond monitoring checkpoints.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $6.60 · Bull $9.00 · Bear $4.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $7.63

Why

Momentum98 · Δ7d +4.6

Value64 · Δ7d -0.2

Sentiment0 · Δ7d -5.8

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+4.6

Δ21d

+62.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.2

Δ21d

-2.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-5.8

Δ21d

-32.2

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 98.4 / Value 63.6 / Sentiment 0.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$798.63M

Beta

0.80

Shares Out

66.83M

P/E (TTM)

48.7

P/S (TTM)

1.07

P/FCF (TTM)

5.87

Rev YoY

-0.3%

EPS YoY

-48.5%

Gross Margin

+68.7%

Op Margin

+1.5%

Net Debt

$493.7M

Current Ratio

0.74

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology