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Gibraltar IndustriesB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The primary Q2 release supports a constructive operating case: strong reported growth, 5% organic growth, sequential Residential margin expansion, on-track OmniMax integration, and the expanded award to more than 1,700 locations [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.2.
What can break
Agtech growth depends on volume-driven project activity and quoting conversion; stored earnings context flagged lower backlog as an area to monitor [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-14].
Momentum
76
Value
58
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.80 · Bull $53.50 · Bear $36.50Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $75.25
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d +2.3
Value58 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -14.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Agtech growth depends on volume-driven project activity and quoting conversion; stored earnings context flagged lower backlog as an area to monitor [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-14].
  • • Analyst revision data, options skew, short interest, employee sentiment, and social sentiment are unavailable, limiting confidence in the forward rerating case.
  • • The growth profile remains acquisition-assisted, while GAAP net income and adjusted EPS declined year over year.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 earnings beat and FY2026 guidance reaffirmation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
76
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
-20.4
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.2
Δ21d
-23.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 76.4 / Value 57.7 / Sentiment 65.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$53.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$46.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$36.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.41B
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
29.68M
P/E (TTM)
11.8
P/S (TTM)
1.24
P/FCF (TTM)
13.83
Rev YoY
+64.6%
EPS YoY
-68.5%
Gross Margin
+25.4%
Op Margin
+10.9%
Net Debt
-$58.05M
Current Ratio
1.46
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data