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Gibraltar IndustriesB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 continuing-operations sales rose 64.6%, including 5% organic growth, while Residential building products grew 12.7% organically. The customer award and larger synergy commitment provide identifiable routes to meeting reaffirmed 2026 guidance.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
What can break
Agtech backlog fell 34% year over year, and Infrastructure sales and margin were affected by project timing and mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
26
Value
58
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $44.00 · Bull $52.00 · Bear $28.00Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $75.25
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d +8.7
Value58 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment64 · Δ7d -5.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Agtech backlog fell 34% year over year, and Infrastructure sales and margin were affected by project timing and mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • OmniMax integration and synergy delivery are unproven; approximately $1.2 billion of quarter-end net debt increases the cost of a miss. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Adjusted EPS declined to $1.11 from $1.13 despite acquisition-led sales growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29

Residential customer rollout begins in Q4

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
26
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.7
Δ21d
-16.7
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.3
Δ21d
-6.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 26.4 / Value 57.8 / Sentiment 64.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.15B
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
29.68M
P/E (TTM)
11.8
P/S (TTM)
1.24
P/FCF (TTM)
13.83
Rev YoY
+64.6%
EPS YoY
-68.5%
Gross Margin
+25.4%
Op Margin
+10.9%
Net Debt
-$58.05M
Current Ratio
1.46
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data