B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RNGR
Ranger Energy ServicesCNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$17.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-30
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+40.1
Positive
Company
+2.0
Mixed
Macro
+40.3
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
+22.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+60.7
Score
AI commentary
Primary earnings evidence is constructive, but the post-print signal is mixed: secondary coverage reported Q2 EPS in line and revenue above consensus, while the stock moved from a reported $15.47 close on July 28 to the $15.14 July 29 anchor. Social coverage and robust analyst-revision data are unavailable, so this remains a cautious monitoring view. Source: https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/ranger-energy-services-earnings-missed-revenue-topped-estimates-4815325
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-30
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-29eventQ2 2026 revenue beat with sequential EBITDA expansionMedium impact
Q2 revenue was $176.5 million versus $161.6 million consensus in secondary coverage; EPS of $0.29 was in line with consensus. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $28.6 million at a 16.2% margin, with $20.0 million of free cash flow and 282,900 shares repurchased. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-27] Secondary source: https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/ranger-energy-services-earnings-missed-revenue-topped-estimates-4815325
2026-09-30catalystWireline activity and profitability moderation in H2 2026High impact
Management said some wireline contract activity has completed for the year and expects lower activity and more modest profitability in the second half of 2026. High-spec rig activity also remains sensitive to commodity prices and customer utilization decisions. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-27]
2026-12-31catalystAWS integration and ECHO fleet expansionHigh impact
Management reported that AWS was approaching full integration, achieved a more than $100 million annualized EBITDA run rate, and announced three additional ECHO hybrid-electric rigs with Chevron. Further adoption and ancillary-service investment could support longer-term growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-27]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology