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RNGR

Ranger Energy ServicesC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue growth, margin expansion, free cash flow, buybacks, AWS integration, ancillary traction, and ECHO deployment opportunities support a potential rerating.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.2.
What can break
AWS integration and ECHO deployment execution risk.
Momentum
42
Value
60
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.25 · Bull $20.50 · Bear $12.25Analysis 2026-07-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.83
Why
Momentum42 · Δ7d -2.7
Value60 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +6.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AWS integration and ECHO deployment execution risk.
  • • Commodity-price sensitivity and disciplined customers limiting incremental rig commitments.
  • • The Q2 print did not produce clear market confirmation, while wireline activity is expected to soften in H2 2026 and customer spending remains utilization-focused and commodity-sensitive.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Q2 2026 revenue beat with sequential EBITDA expansion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
42
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-2.7
Δ21d
-15.7
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.2
Δ21d
+6.6
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 41.8 / Value 60.4 / Sentiment 64.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$17.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$413.05M
Beta
0.19
Shares Out
23.4M
P/E (TTM)
22.2
P/S (TTM)
0.63
P/FCF (TTM)
7.19
Rev YoY
+25.5%
EPS YoY
-10.7%
Gross Margin
+8.3%
Op Margin
+4.0%
Net Debt
$31.6M
Current Ratio
1.73
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data