B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RLGT
Radiant LogisticsCNYSE American / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The best post-print bull read is that RLGT held revenue flat in a difficult freight market, improved GAAP profitability year over year, maintained strong liquidity, and still has capacity for buybacks or acquisitions. Management's comments on domestic truckload/intermodal improvement and technology enablement provide some medium-term upside optionality.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-09-14.
What can break
Adjusted gross profit, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EBITDA margin declined year over year in fiscal Q3 despite flat revenue, signaling margin compression risk.
Momentum
29
Value
56
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.00 · Bull $9.25 · Bear $6.90Analysis 2026-05-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-09-14
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.25
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d -11.0
Value56 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +15.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-09-14.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +15.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted gross profit, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EBITDA margin declined year over year in fiscal Q3 despite flat revenue, signaling margin compression risk.
- • Low analyst coverage and limited post-earnings revision data make it harder for the stock to gain a stronger rerating quickly.
- • The bear read is that the quarter did not show a clean operating inflection: adjusted gross profit, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, and nine-month adjusted earnings all declined year over year, suggesting the freight environment is still pressuring earnings quality even with flat revenue.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-14
Post-earnings setup is balanced rather than clearly bullish
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.0
Δ21d
-30.9
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-3.1
Sentiment
60
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.0
Δ21d
+22.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 28.7 / Value 55.6 / Sentiment 59.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$406.5M
Beta
0.73
Shares Out
46.83M
P/E (TTM)
20.8
P/S (TTM)
0.33
P/FCF (TTM)
27.68
Rev YoY
+0.1%
EPS YoY
+84.3%
Gross Margin
+15.4%
Op Margin
+1.8%
Net Debt
$60.3M
Current Ratio
1.59
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data