RKLB

Rocket LabF

Nasdaq / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

The post-earnings bull case is that RKLB is proving it is no longer only a launch story: record quarterly revenue, record backlog, stronger-than-guided margin performance, more than $2B of liquidity, and a rising mix of defense, components, and spacecraft programs all support a higher-quality growth profile after the Q1 release [#8-K-2026-05-07].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

News driver: Rocket Lab, Lockheed Martin among the partners in SpaceX’s military space-laser project.

What can break

Backlog quality is strong, but conversion timing can be lumpy across launch and space-systems programs, so a record backlog does not eliminate quarter-to-quarter volatility [#8-K-2026-05-07].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $88.00 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $60.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade F · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $116.81

Why

Momentum5 · Δ7d -8.2

Value34 · Δ7d 0.0

Sentiment68 · Δ7d +14.5

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-8.2

Δ21d

-22.7

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

0.0

Δ21d

-0.0

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+14.5

Δ21d

+37.8

Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 4.9 / Value 33.9 / Sentiment 67.6

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$41.35B

Beta

2.17

Shares Out

598.18M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-185.1

P/S (TTM)

75.27

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-122.14

Rev YoY

+63.5%

EPS YoY

-37.9%

Gross Margin

+33.8%

Op Margin

-41.4%

Net Debt

-$751.49M

Current Ratio

4.47

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology