B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.80
+86.3% vs current
RITM
Rithm CapitalCNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-03
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$14.03
+55.5% vs current
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$10.80
+19.7% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-04
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+18.4
Positive
Company
+23.6
Positive
Macro
+18.6
Positive
Pulse
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+100.0
Score
AI commentary
Analyst median near $14.03 implies upside from the current anchor; coverage skews cautiously positive while short‑term sentiment hinges on distribution and funding headlines.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-04
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-05eventRate and mortgage‑spread directionHigh impact
Macro moves in short rates and MBS spreads will directly affect NII and book value; date set as a conservative near‑term window.
2026-05-05catalystNext quarterly earnings / portfolio updateHigh impact
Quarterly results or portfolio marks may alter dividend outlook and NAV; date estimated conservatively.
2027-02-04catalystSell‑side 12‑month consensus targetsHigh impact
Sell‑side consensus centers on a median near $14.03 (high ~ $16.8, low ~ $10.8); shifts in consensus can drive multi‑month re‑rating.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-04 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology